Barnes was supported by 46 percent of registered Wisconsin voters, and the senator was backed by just 44 percent. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. The small margins indicate a tight race with the midterms just two weeks away. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Updated on: November 9, 2022 / 11:38 AM For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. Morry Gash/Associated Press Barnes leads Johnson with women and younger voters. The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. Democratic candidate Mandela Barnes, the state's. While Johnson has outperformed . InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . Johnson got a boost from voters' concerns about crime and economic issues, while Barnes had strong support from voters who saw abortion as one of the top issues. As a senator, Johnson co-sponsored theLife at Conception Act enshrining a right to life or the right to life of each born and preborn human person in the Constitution and allowing equal protections at the moment of fertilization. However, he also said during the campaign that he would support a recently offered proposal to create a single-issue referendum that would allow Wisconsin voters to decide on the future of abortion rights in the state. Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. They pointed to a CBS News poll from over the weekend showing Johnson ahead . New York City Mayor Dismisses Separation Of Church And State,Despite his vow to uphold the U.S. Constitution, Eric Adams said he "can't separate" his Christian beliefs from his public duties. Anna Moneymaker/Gabriela Bhaskar/Getty Images, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. In an eight-candidate field, where several rivals were still actively campaigning, Barnes won more than 77 percent of the vote. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. The new poll shows 51% of independents likely to cast a vote support Johnson, compared with 45% backing Barnes. A Fox News survey of. While Johnson has outperformed polls before, political experts note unique challenges this election cycle. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. With less than 100 days to go before the . Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race The CNN poll was conducted Oct. 13-17 and surveyed 905 registered Wisconsin voters, 714 of whom were likely voters. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. Vermont Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R) 34. Lt. Gov. Johnson built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began relentlessly focusing on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy worked. Barnes did not officially concede the race Tuesday night or Wednesday morning as he waited for all the votes to be counted. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. Mandela Barnes. 2022 #WISen General Election Poll: Mandela Barnes (D) 43% Ron Johnson (R-Inc) 43% @claritycampaign / @TheOtherMandela (D) Internal ~ 756 LV ~ 9/8-9/11 https://t.co/OXfsRBbJJX He said residents should also expect "a new low" in terms of how negative campaign ads will be this election cycle. Johnson has maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the. At right, Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. Develop Prior to several outlets projecting him as the winner, Johnson, who will now serve his third six-year term, said in a written statement that the corporate media refused to call a race that is over. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. The state's other senator, Tammy Baldwin, is a Democrat as well. Johnson's latest margin wasin line withhis two-point lead over Barnes in a Nov. 2 Marquette University Law School poll. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Evers has a slight lead over Michels in Wisconsin governor's race, per Marquette Law School poll, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Mandela Barnes to Milwaukee Rotary: Ron Johnson is a 'threat to the stability of this country', La Crosse Sheriff's captain denies endorsing Mandela Barnes in US Senate race, Madison Common Council eases limits on unrelated people renting homes together, From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago, Report: Inflation Reduction Act could bring over 24K jobs to Wisconsin over next decade, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects, Landowners sue Lac du Flambeau tribal leaders to reopen roads blocked for a month, Supreme Court candidate Janet Protasiewicz says she'd recuse herself in cases involving state Democratic Party, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Dairy groups call new federal guidance for labeling plant-based milk alternatives a 'double-edged sword', Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Keep updated on the latest news and information. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. The AP called the race after Johnson claimed his win earlier in the morning and other national media outlets such as NBC News,CBS News, and CNN projected Johnson would win. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. President Biden had a narrow victory in the state in 2020 after former President Donald Trump won it in 2016. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. Barnes has seen a decline in the polls over recent months after facing a slew of attack ads depicting him as soft on crime. She won reelection with over 55 percent of the vote in 2018. The. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. Despite it being the number one issue for voters in several recent polls, however, the candidates were not asked a direct . Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. Tony Evers, 46 percent back Republican challenger Tim Michels, and 4 percent support independent Joan Belinger. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. (Last month, the Republican-controlled state Legislatureblocked initial effortsto get that question on the ballot.). Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. All rights reserved. The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Democratic Lt. Gov. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. "Now, that's what Democrats have been doing to Ron Johnson for nearly two years," said Lee. Most young women are not. For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. This race is over.. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. . Legal Statement. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. In Wisconsin 's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. TrendRadars. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . MIDTERM STUDY FINDS MAINSTREAM MEDIA GAVE REPUBLICANS 87% MORE NEGATIVE COVERAGE THAN DEMOCRATS. 1:51 Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has surged to a 6-point lead in his reelection race against Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes, according to Wednesday's Marquette University Law. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. That's still slightly higher than the 36 percent who view Johnson favorably. ", In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said in a statement that the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. Lt. Wisconsins gubernatorial race, meanwhile, has tightened: 47 percent of likely voters support incumbent Democratic Gov. Johnson and Barnes spent much of their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing abortion and crime. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has rated the battleground Senate race as a toss-up, and other recent polling has shown the two candidates nearly deadlocked as the midterms draw nearer. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, The shepherd boy, the wolf and the threat to Israeli democracy. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. IE 11 is not supported. Notably, the margin of error was 4.5 percentage points. Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. Home; News. as well as other partner offers and accept our. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. The House races win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and spent! 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